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Experimental Mt St Leonard Long Range Weather Forecast

Based Upon Statistical Interpretation of NOAA Data

Combined With Human Forecasts

(http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ready.html)

NOAA Data At: 10am, 3-Jun-2006

Minimum temperatures are for the night/early morning,
maximum temperatures are for the daytime,
whilst precipitation amounts and probabilities
are for the 24 hours from midnight.

Day & DateMorningAfternoonMin
Temp
(deg C)
Max
Temp
(deg C)
Precip
Amount
(mm)
Precip
Prob
(%)
9am Wind/
3pm Wind
Melb Apt
(km/hr)
Sun-4-6-2006Shower.
Shower.
592.253SW 8
SSE 15
Mon-5-6-2006Cloudy.
Sunny.
310034N 8
S 8
Tue-6-6-2006Fog.
Sunny.
310012N 8
S 8
Wed-7-6-2006Fog.
Sunny.
211014N 8
SSE 8
Thu-8-6-2006Sunny.
Partly Cloudy.
311019N 15
N 15
Fri-9-6-2006Partly Cloudy.
Cloudy.
410024N 25
N 25
Sat-10-6-2006Cloudy.
Sunny.
411029N 8
N 8

The Weather Icons

Acknowledgement: Bureau of Meteorology & World Meteorological Organisation

Sunny
Dry
Haze
Mist
Fog
Partly Cloudy
Cloudy
Windy
Dust

Possible Shower
Drizzle
Shower
Snow
Rain
Thunder
Cyclone

Definitions

Icon Meaning
Sunny: Sun shines >75% of the time
Dry: As 'sunny', but used on days when Max > 30 Deg C
& Relative Humidity drops below 10%
Haze: As 'sunny', but used on days when visibility drops
below 5000 m due to smoke
Mist: Visibility below 5000 m due to water droplets but above 400 m
(also used on days when isolated fog patches)
Fog: Visibility below 400 m
Partly Cloudy: Sun shines between 25% & 75% of the time
Cloudy: Sun shines <25% of the time
Windy: No precipitation & wind speed averages
'fresh' (18 kts) or stronger
Dust: Visibility <1km due to dust raised by wind
Possible Shower: Isolated light precipitation <25% of the metropolitan area
Drizzle: Liquid precipitation that is almost continuous
& made up of fine droplets
Shower: Brief periods of liquid precipitation
Snow: Snow or sleet falls (includes cases of flurries and/or ice)
Rain: Liquid precipitation that is almost continuous
but droplets are of medium size or large (not fine)
Thunder: Thunder heard or lightning seen
Cyclone: Wind speed averages 'storm force' (60 kts) or stronger


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