Home Publications 14 Day Forecasts

Experimental Fourteen Day Forecast
for Melbourne, Australia


GFS Prediction (18 August 2018 data)
Note that temperatures given are for the new Melbourne site at Olympic Park

GFS Prediction in Mandarin (18 August 2018 data)
Note that temperatures given are for the former Melbourne site in the CBD

ACCESS Prediction: One to Ten Days Ahead
and Official Prediction (18 August 2018 data)


ECMWF Prediction: Two Weeks Ahead
and Official Prediction (18 August 2018 data)


Historical Experimental Forecast Data Base (2005 to date)
Temperature differences between the Olympic Park and CBD sites

About the ACCESS Model

Surface Pressure Sequence (out to seven days)
Jet Streams Sequence (out to seven days)
Latest Official Forecasts (all Victorian localities)

Cloud Forecasts for Australian and New Zealand Astronomers

Long Term Trends in Melbourne Forecast Accuracy (Variance Explained):
Min and Max Temp Forecasts, Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPFs), and Estimates of Probability of Precipitation (PoPs).

Long Term Trends in Melbourne Forecast Accuracy (Inter-Diurnal Variance Explained):
Min and Max Temp Forecasts, Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPFs), and Estimates of Probability of Precipitation (PoPs).

Accuracy of Seasonal Rainfall Outlooks
ALL STATES, NT, QLD, NSW, VIC, TAS, SA, WA

Trends in the Accuracy of Seasonal Outlooks


See also:
Stern H and Pollock J (2011)
Verifying the accuracy of two decades of seasonal climate outlooks.
5th International Verification Methods Workshop, 1 - 7 December 2011, Melbourne, Australia.
Presentation

Home Publications 14 Day Forecasts