Research Papers on Weather and Climate
by Harvey Stern Ph. D.

About the page

This page lists the author's presentations.

Recent Presentations

Climate change and shifts to flooding regimes.
- presentation to North East Catchment Management Authority, Wodonga, Australia, 28 Feb., 2008.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: A Synthesis of the Fourth Assessment Report.
- presentation to LABCON-2007, Melbourne, Australia, 30 Nov., 2007.

Climate Change.
- presentation to Office of the Emergency Services Commissioner, Melbourne, Australia, 23 Nov., 2007.

Climate Change.
- presentation to Glenhuntly Branch of the Australian Labor Party, Melbourne, Australia, 19 Nov., 2007.

Climate Change.
- presentation to Friends of Wattle Park, Melbourne, Australia, 18 Nov., 2007.

Climate forecasting and trends.
- presentation to Melbourne Water, Melbourne, Australia, 7 Nov., 2007.

Climate Change.
- presentation to Defence Science and Technology Organisation, Melbourne, Australia, 1 Nov., 2007.

Generating automated seasonal climate outlooks utilising the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI).
- presentation to Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Australia, 24 Oct., 2007.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: A Synthesis of the Fourth Assessment Report.
- presentation to Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Australia, 29 Aug., 2007.

Climate Change.
- presentation to Commonwealth Affairs and Federal Relations Policy Committee of the Australian Labor Party (Victorian Branch), Melbourne, Australia, 15 Aug., 2007.

Climate Change.
- presentation to Forum conducted by the Oakleigh Branch of the Australian Labor Party, Melbourne, Australia, 15 Jul., 2007.

Listening to the Goulburn Valley - Climate Change Forums
- presentation (with Mr Chris Kelly) to Euroa Community, Euroa, Australia, 31 May., 2007.
- presentation (with Mr Chris Kelly) to Cobram Community, Cobram, Australia, 14 June., 2007.

Increasing weather forecast accuracy by mechanically combining human and automated predictions using a knowledge based system.
- presentation to 23rd Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems, San Antonio, Texas, USA 14-18 Jan., 2007.

The future of humans in weather forecasting.
- presentation to Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Australia, 20 Dec., 2006.

Preparing meteorological data for court cases.
- presentation to Australia New Zealand Forensic Science Society (Victorian Branch), Melbourne, Australia, 19 Oct., 2006.

The application of financial market mathematics to translating climate forecasts into decision making.
- presentation to 3rd International Conference on Climate Impacts Assessments (TICCIA), Cairns, Australia, 24-27 Jul., 2006.

Case Study. Weather Derivatives. Why they are applicable to you.
- presentation to Alpine Investment and Development Summit, Sydney, Australia, 19-21 Oct., 2005.
Link to paper.

Weather Patterns in Victoria
- presentation, with Neal Moodie, to University of the Third Age, Latrobe University, September 30, 2004.

Evaluating the cost of protecting against global climate change: options pricing theory and weather derivatives.
- presentation to 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, San Diego, California, USA 9-13 Jan., 2005.

Observed Climate Change
- presentation, with Dean Collins, to Climate, Catchments and Communities Conference, Bendigo, September 29-30, 2004.

Weather Derivatives
- presentation to The Australian Barley Board, Melbourne, September 9, 2004.

Using a knowledge based system to predict thunderstorms
-presentation to International Confeerence on Storms, Storms Science to Disaster Mitigation, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia 5-9 Jul., 2004.

Using verification data to improve forecasts
-presentation to Australian Meteorollogy and Oceanography Society 2004 Annual Conference, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia 5-9 Jul., 2004.

Latest Developments in Weather Risk Management
- presentation, with Shoni Dawkins and RRobin Hicks, to The Finance and Treasury Association's Risk Finance Conference Sydney, March 22-24, 2004.

Managing Energy Risk in the Power Sector.
- presentation, with Glen Dixon and Shonni Dawkins, to 7th Annual Victoria Power Conference Masterclass, Melbourne, February 26, 2004.

Tasmanian Energy and Weather Risk.
- presentation, with Glen Dixon and Shonni Dawkins, to 5th Annual Tasmania Power Conference Masterclass, Melbourne, December 10, 2003.

Drought and the Long-Term Weather Forecast
- presentation, to Annual Regional Conference of the Australian & New Zealand Institute of Insurance & Finance, Bendigo, August 7-8, 2003.

Cutting-edge Weather Risk Management.
- presentation, with Shoni Dawkins, to <Energy Risk and Trading (TERRAPINN), Sydney, June 17, 2003.

Progress on streamlining the forecast process via a knowledge-based system.
- presentation, to Bureau of Meteoroology Research Centre Seminar, Melbourne, April 23, 2003.

Energy pricing techniques in the electricity market.
Part 4:Application of weather derivatives.
- presentation, to 7th Annual Queenssland Power Conference Masterclass, Brisbane, April 9, 2003.

Trends and volatility in the accuracy of temperature forecasts.
- presentation, with Shoni S. Dawkins, tto 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography, Wellington, New Zealand 24-28 Mar., 2003.

Cashing in on the weather: how agriculture might protect against adverse seasons using weather derivatives.
- presentation, with Shoni S. Dawkins, tto Australia New Zealand Climate Forum: Climate Serving Agriculture, Palmerston North, New Zealand, 19-21 Mar., 2003.

Pricing a financial instrument to guarantee the accuracy of a weather forecast.
- presentation, with Shoni S. Dawkins, tto AMS 2003 Annual Meeting, Long Beach, Feb 11, 2003.
- view, also, the complete paper.

Progress on a knowledge-based internet weather forecasting system.
- presentation to AMS 2003 Annual Meeeting, Long Beach, Feb 11, 2003.
- view, also, the complete paper.

Weather modelling: an Australian case.
- presentation, with Quentin Kerr (Intellligent Energy Systems) & Glen Dixon (Griffith University), to The 15th Australasian Finance & Banking Conference, Sydney, December 18, 2002.

Briefing on current climate conditions and outlook.
- presentation to Australian Wheat BBoard Limited, Melbourne, December 17, 2002.

Briefing on current climate conditions and outlook.
- presentation to Goulburn-Murray Waater, Tatura, December 16, 2002.

Pricing weather derivatives in the Australian electricity market - Part 1; Part 2; Part 3; Part 4.
- presentation, with Glen Dixon (Griffitth University), to Ergon Energy Seminar, Brisbane, November 13, 2002.

Pricing weather derivatives in the Australian agricultural market - Part 1; Part 2; Part 3; Part 4.
- presentation, with Glen Dixon (Griffitth University), to Australian Agricultural & Resource Economics Society, QLD Branch, Brisbane, September 27, 2002.

Briefing on current climate conditions and outlook.
- presentation to Country Fire Authoority, Melbourne, September 19, 2002.

Weather derivatives and the mitigation of weather risk.
- presentation to Australia Risk 20002 (RISK-WATERS), Sydney, August 21, 2002; and,
- presentation to NSW Regional Officce (Bureau of Meteorology), Sydney, August 21, 2002.

Objective classification of Australian climates.
- presentation, with Graham de Hoedt andd Jeneanne Ernst, to Geography Teachers Association, Melbourne, August 16, 2002.

Alternative risk transfer and the weather market.
- presentation to Energy Risk 2002 ((UTILICON), Sydney, July 31, 2002.

Fog and low cloud forecasting - the Victorian approach (Part 1).
- presentation, with Kevin Parkyn and Peeter Newham, to Aviation Weather Services Conference (Bureau of Meteorology), Hepburn Springs, May 23, 2002.

Weather Derivatives.
- presentation to Advanced Climate CCourse (Bureau of Meteorology), Melbourne, May 2, 2002.

Weather Derivatives.
- presentation to Weather Services PPlanning Conference (Bureau of Meteorology), Kalorama, April 19, 2002.

Application of Weather Derivatives to the Tasmanian Market (Part 1).
Application of Weather Derivatives to the Tasmanian Market (Part 2).
- presentation, with Glen Dixon, to >TasmaniaPower2002 (UTILICON), Hobart, April 11, 2002.
- modified version presented to University of Tasmania, School of Economics and Finance Seminar Series, Hobart, April 12, 2002, as "Utilising Weather Securitisation to Offset Weather Risk."

Managing Weather Risk.
- presentation to New Zealand UTILICCON, Auckland, Mar 14, 2002.

Australian New Breeze - recent developments in managing weather risk.
- presentation to Weather Risk Managgement Association, Tokyo, March 7, 2002.

Weather Securitisation.
- presentation to WeatherRisk2002, New York, Jan 24, 2002.

Internet Forecasts.
- presentation to AMS 2002 Annual Meeeting, Orlando, Jan 16, 2002.

Pricing Weather Derivatives.
- presentation, with Adam Kucera (EdgeCaap), to Australian Computing and Communications Centre (ac3), Sydney, Nov 27, 2001.

Weather Derivatives.
- presentation to Risk 2001 Australiia (RISK-WATERS), Sydney, Aug 21, 2001.

2nd International Conference on fog and fog collection (St. Johns, Canada, July 15-20, 2001).
- presentation reporting on the conferennce to Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Aug 13, 2001;

The St. Johns Conference saw the presentation of a paper by Harvey Stern and Kevin Parkyn:
"A WEB-based Melbourne Airport fog and low cloud forecasting technique".

Go to the Fog and Low Cloud WebSite, to utilise this technique.